Dynamic risk preferences under realized and paper outcomes

Social Preferences under Risk - An Experimental Analysis

The literature on social preferences provides overwhelming evidence of departures from pure self-interest of individuals. Experiments show that people care about others’ well-being and their relative standing. This paper investigates whether this type of behavior persists when risk comes into play. I devise an experiment which sheds light on the interrelation of risk and social preferences by m...

Characterization of Finitely Generated Preferences Under Risk . ∗

Inference under Stability of Risk Preferences∗

We leverage the assumption that preferences are stable across contexts to partially identify and conduct inference on the parameters of a structural model of risky choice. Working with data on households’deductible choices across three lines of insurance coverage and a model that nests expected utility theory plus a range of non-expected utility models, we perform a revealed preference analysis...

Bond Risk Premia and Realized Jump Risk∗

We find that augmenting a regression of excess bond returns on the term structure of forward rates with a rolling estimate of the mean realized jump size—identified from high-frequency bond returns using the bi-power variation technique—substantially increases the R2 of the regression. This result is consistent with the setting of an unspanned risk factor in which the conditional distribution o...

Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk

In this paper, we document that realized variation measures constructed from high-frequency returns reveal a large degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation measures are nearly Gaussian, this unpredict...